2020 Conglomerate Mets Projections: Wilson Ramos

Each year at 213, we take projections from several different places, average them together and then compare the line that spits out to the player’s performance from last year. We understand how unscientific this is – some projections try to guess playing time, some don’t, more playing time is weighted the same as less playing time, more successful projection producers are weighted the same as their counterparts, etc. At the end of the year we revisit the projections and see how’d they do.

The Mets catcher situation was a mess last year but Wilson Ramos put together an exactly average year and at the end of the day that’s fine. We are using DRC+ to measure average ness, and this happened to Ramos as recently as 2017. After that he was posted back to back seasons of 120 DRC+.

2019 Stats: 524 PA, 473 AB, 14 HR, .288/.351/.416, 2.0 WAR, 100 DRC+

(Citations: BP projections come from the Baseball Prospectus Annual, a must read for all baseball fans and can be purchased here. ESPN comes from their fantasy baseball projections and can be found here. Both ZiPS and Steamer are found on FanGraphs. ZiPS can be found here, Steamer can be found here. BR comes from the Baseball Reference for this specific player and is linked earlier in the article)

The projection programs, maybe because of his age or his health last year, see him taking a step back in multiple ways next year. Drops across the board in average, OBP and WAR leading to a below average year in DRC+. But the Mets didn’t improve at all at catcher this off-season and Ramos with a bat is light years better than Nimmo, so this is what the Mets are stuck with.

Ultimately for Ramos, he needs to improve on defense. His stat projection line is much more helpful for the Mets if pitchers want to throw to him everyday, or most days during the week and there is reason to believe that he has been working on catching and framing this off-season. If that’s true then the Mets are in a better place compared to last year.