Each year at 213, we take projections from several different places, average them together and then compare the line that spits out to the player’s performance from last year. We understand how unscientific this is – some projections try to guess playing time, some don’t, more playing time is weighted the same as less playing time, more successful projection producers are weighted the same as their counterparts, etc. At the end of the year we revisit the projections and see how’d they do.
The Mets acquired Jake Marisnick from the Astros for Kenedy Corona and Blake Taylor. Jake was acquired because the Mets needed a defensive minded center fielder. This will BVW’s second attempt at filling this role via a trade, his first attempt with Keon Broxton did not work out well (for either team in that trade) last season. Jake doesn’t get on base much, but does have some pop as shown in the difference between his OBP and SLG below.
2019 Stats: 318 PA, 292 AB, 10 HR, .233/.289/.411, 1.2 WAR, 68 DRC+
(Citations: BP projections come from the Baseball Prospectus Annual, a must read for all baseball fans and can be purchased here. ESPN comes from their fantasy baseball projections and can be found here. Both ZiPS and Steamer are found on FanGraphs. ZiPS can be found here, Steamer can be found here. BR comes from the Baseball Reference for this specific player and is linked earlier in the article)
Cespedes is looking for a come back this year. The Mets outfield already has Nimmo and Conforto. Then McNeil and J.D. Davis is going to be bounce between the infield and the outfield. This doesn’t leave a lot of room for Jake but the Mets need someone who can play defensively so his playing time should be safe. His projections seem to map his last season. He won’t get on base that often, has pop and that’s about it. We’ll see how Luis Rojas balances out his playing time.
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