2018 Stats Projection – Paul Sewald

Last year we wrote about how Paul Sewald had the strongest chance of making the Mets roster at some point in 2017 as a Non-Roster Invite to Spring Training. The Mets needed him and he answered. He wasn’t fantastic, but he was reliable.

His role this year is confusing, and his tenure may be brief as the Mets look to get some of their arms back from the DL, what do the computers think he’ll do?

Paul Sewald
Source Innings ERA FIP WHIP K BB K/BB K/9
Baseball Prospectus 50 4.75 1.34 54 9.72
ZiPS 67.7 4.12 3.85 76 22 3.454545 10.1034
Steamer 45 4.08 4.14 1.28 46 16 2.875 9.2
ESPN 64 4.36 1.34 63 25 2.52 8.859375
Baseball Reference 58 4.34 1.276 58 20 2.9 9
Average: 56.94 4.33 3.995 1.309 59.4 20.75 2.937386 9.376554
2017 Stats: 65.1 4.55 3.74 1.209 69 21 3.285714 9.539171

The computers see him improving quite a bit but seeing less time. Honestly, if he sees 65 innings this year one of two things happened: he either is performing vastly above expectations, or something went terribly wrong with the Mets. His future with the Mets is still bright and 2019 looks to be his year.

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