It took over a month but we are finally done! Here is our last stat projection, Rene Rivera.
There are a lot of stat projection publications available on the internet and magazine shelves. Rather than trusting one (although if I had to pick one, it would be Baseball Prospectus), I like to average the projections together. In a perfect world, I would take data from the several years I’ve done this to figure out how to weight the projections in the average, but for now just a straight average will be fine. This tends to round out the higher/lower outliers while still allowing them to have a say in the conversation.
| Rene Rivera | |||||||||
| PA | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| 2016 | 2017 | 185 | 12.00 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 0.222 | 0.291 | 0.341 |
| Projections | |||||||||
| MLB.com | 165 | 13.00 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0.224 | 0.289 | 0.321 | |
| Steamer | 138 | 13.00 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0.225 | 0.285 | 0.355 | |
| ZiPS | 277 | 21.00 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 0.226 | 0.281 | 0.341 | |
| ESPN | 18.00 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 0.221 | ||||
| Baseball Prospectus | 123 | 11.00 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0.225 | 0.276 | 0.348 | |
| NBC Rotoworld | 228 | 17.00 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0.211 | 0.269 | 0.329 | |
| Average | 200 | 177 | 15.5 | 4.8333333 | 22.166667 | 0.1666667 | 0.222 | 0.28 | 0.3388 |
Let’s be blunt. Rene isn’t playing for his offense. He hits bombs. He doesn’t hit anything else really. He’s not expected to. His bombs are really bonus.
Rivera has great defense and is super important to the stability of the rotation. The hope is the rest of the lineup can carry more of a lift when he plays.
Sources:
MLB.com and Steamer Projections can both be found here.
ZiPS projections can be found here.
ESPN projections can be found here.
Seidler, Jarrett & BP Staff. (2017) Baseball Prospectus 2017. New York, New York:Turner Publishing Company
The Fantasy Baseball Guide (2017)
Sporting News Fantasy Baseball (2017)
Baseball America Fantasy Guide (2017)
Rotowire Fantasy Baseball (2017)
Rotoworld Fansty Baseball (2017)
Notes:
Article Written on 3/14, stats collected 2/19 and may have changed after collection. Not all sources above may have been used in this article specifically but were used in judgment calls for reliability of the data
