As we head down the pipe to Pitchers and Catchers, Spring Training, Spring Training Games and the 2015 season, computers are rolling out 2015 projections on how every player will perform. Before getting a 2015 preview, at 213 Miles From Shea we wanted to see how the computers handled 2014.
For the second time in three seasons, Dillon Gee had an injury shortened season. While he wasn’t able to put up similar numbers that he was able to in 2013, did his numbers differe from the projections? Let’s take a look!
2014 Projections:
ESPN: 205.0 IP, 33 G, 33 GS, 59 BB, 152 K, 12 W, 4.04 ERA, 1.31 WHIP
MLB: 189.0 IP, 10-12, 49 BB, 150 K, 4.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Steamer: 163.0 IP, 29 G, 29 GS, 10-11, 4.16 ERA
Oliver: 162.0 IP, 26 G, 26 GS, 10-8, 3.94 ERAPECOTA: 189.0 IP, 30 G, 30 GS, 9.8-14.9, 56 BB, 160 K, 3.92 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
Average: 181.5 IP, 29.5 G, 29.5 GS, 10.6-13.4, 54.6 BB, 154 K, 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP
2014 Actual:
137.1 IP, 22 G, 22 GS, 7-8, 43 BB, 94 K, 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Injuries prevented him from playing the full 32 which caused a lot of differences in the models and reality. However int eh numbers that don’t rely on innings pitched, ERA and WHIP, the models were almost identical to what Gee actually did. Therefore, in this case, the models would be correct.
