Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
The Mets have three players all aiming for the final part of the rotation. Yesterday we looked at John Lannan, today we look at Daisuke Matsuzaka. On the 26th, we’ll look at Mejia, the other contender for this spot.
Daisuke was an interesting addition to the team last year. He struggled when he pitched slow, when he picked up the pace, he showed some progress. What makes him difficult for the Mets is that he can opt out of his contract if he doesn’t make the major league roster, if he wants to, which cuts into the depth idea. Anyway, lets look at the stats:
2013: 7 G, 7 GS, 38.2 IP, 16 BB, 33 K, 3 – 3, 4.42 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 7.68 K/9
ESPN: 7 G, 7 GS, 41.0 IP, 19 BB, 30 K, 2 W, 5.27 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 6.59 K/9
MLB: 50.0 IP, 21 BB, 2-5, 4.86 ERA, 1.44 WHIP
Steamer:5 G, 5 GS, 29.0 IP, 2-2, 4.31 ERA, 7.21 K/9
Oliver: 20 G, 20 GS, 104.0 IP, 5-6, 4.57 ERA, 6.90 K/9
PECOTA: 22.9 G, 22.9 GS, 119.7 IP, 6.2-8.5, 49 BB, 107 K, 4.00 ERA, 1.3 WHIP, 8.0 K/9
Average: 13.7 G, 13.7 GS, 68.7 IP, 30 BB, 68.5 K, 4.6 ERA, 1.4 WHIP, 7.1 K/9
The programs are split on the idea of how much playing time he will get this season. Outside of that, the numbers look pretty much like what you would expect. His ERA averages above what is considered an average ERA. His WHIP is below average and K/9 is above average. He’s not that exciting here, but he’s going for the fifth spot. If he put up the numbers in the PECOTA projection, that would be fantastic. Lets see what happens.
