Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
Curtis Granderson was the big signing of the off-season. As for his 2014 campaign, there are two questions that hang over projector’s heads. First, how will Granderson respond to his injury from last year. Second, how will Granderson’s numbers respond to not being in Yankee Stadium this year. Let’s take a look!
2013: 214 AB, 31 R, 7 HR, 15 RBI, 8 SB, .229 BA, .317 OBP, .407 SLG
ESPN: 549 AB, 87 R, 24 HR, 73 RBI, 14 SB, .233 BA, .323 OBP, .426 SLG
MLB: 549 AB, 86 R, 28 HR, 88 RBI, 13 SB, .242 BA, .329 OBP, .450 SLG
Steamer: 581 PA, 71 R, 24 HR, 68 RBI, 11 SB, .228 BA, .320 OBP, .429 SLG
Oliver: 600 PA, 71 R, 19 HR, 66 RBI, 12 SB, .220 BA, .306 OBP, .390 SLG
PECOTA: 610 PA, 532 AB, 79 R, 26 HR, 82 RBI, 15 SB, .229 BA, .315 OBP, .434 SLG
Average: 597 PA, 543.3 AB, 78.8 R, 24.2 HR, 75.4 RBI, 13 SB, .230 BA, .319 OBP, .426 SLG
I’m a bit surprised by the Oliver projection, it seems oddly low for Granderson. I’m also a bit surprised at PECOTA, PECOTA generally takes players down a few notches, but projected him better than ESPN, Steamer and Oliver. I’m looking forward to seeing if Granderson can shatter these expectations this year.
