Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. Over the next few weeks we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
First up is the Captain, David Wright:
2013 Stats: 430 AB, 63 R, 18 HR, 58 RBI, 17 SB, .307 BA, .390 OBP, .514 SLG
ESPN: 554 AB, 88 R, 22 HR, 85 RBI, 18 SB, .303 BA, .388 OBP, .502 SLG
MLB: 550 AB, 87 R, 23 HR, 89 RBI, 17 SB, .302 BA, .379 OBP, .498 SLGOliver: 600 PA, 84 R, 21 HR, 79 RBI, 16 SB, .294 BA, .378 OBP, .484 SLG
Steamer: 612 PA, 78 R, 19 HR, 77 RBI, 14 SB, .290 BA, .376 OBP, .476 SLG
PECOTA: 606 PA, 531 AB, 77 R, 19 HR, 75 RBI, 17 SB, .272 BA, .356 OBP, .443 SLG
Average Stats: 606 PA, 545 AB, 82.8 R, 20.8 HR, 80.8 RBI, 16.4 SB, .292 BA, .375 OBP, .481 SLG
It is difficult to compare his 2013 stats to his projected tats because of the difference in at bats. Most of the the projections are in agreement about Wright’s OBP, with the excpetion of PECOTA. They also are in agreement regarding Wright’s power numbers. On the whole, everyone is expecting a conservative, modest drop in production from the Captain but still a solid season.
