So I know I said that the next stats would be DWright hits vs HR's, but i did some pitching analysis, so ill do that today. Also, I will get to that other stuff I promised soon. First some roundup.
Mariano is not happy with the way the Yanks are handleing his contract extension. He wants more respect.
ESPN reports that Papelbon has a new trick up his sleeve, a new pitch. When i find out, ill update.
Now to keep with this theme of pitching, I wanted to find the probability of a pitcher having 3 strikeouts in an inning.
Now most of you already know what K/9 is, (Strikeouts per nine innings), for this exercises, I chose Wagner cause he has the highest on the Mets, 11.70.
Now if you take the K/9 and divide by 27 and you get the KAVG, for Wagner this would be .433
So first, the probability in one inning that Wagner gets at least one K
1-Binomcdf(3,.433,0) = .818
Now these are the exact probilities of 0,1,2,3 K's per inning
Binompdf(3,.433,0) = .182
Binompdf(3,.433,1) = .418
Binompdf(3,.433,2) = .319
Binompdf(3,.433,3) = .081
Another interesting take on this…so close to pitchers and catchers
