Game Preview: Marlins vs Mets

Has anyone else struggled to remember what day it is? The Mets played a rare, mid-series day game in the middle of the week on Tuesday due to the falling temperatures. As a creature of habit, that fully convinced me that Tuesday was a getaway day, and the last game of the series (thus, Wednesday).

But today is that getaway day! We get another day game today! The Mets look to stretch their winning streak to seven games and sweep their second consecutive series.

Tylor Megill has allowed one run over 10 1/3 innings this season from five hits and four walks while striking out 10 (0.87 ERA, 2.29 FIP, 0.871 WHIP, 457 ERA+). We noticed after Megill’s first start that he was using his slider a lot more than last year and that continued into his second start. Over two starts now, Megill is using 27.7% of the time, up from 11.0% in 2024. Statcast still has not picked up any cutter usage yet, which he used 14.2% of the time in 2024. Megill only made one start against the Marlins in 2024 where he allowed three runs from five hits over 4 2/3 innings while striking out eight. The Marlins have the following career numbers against him:

  • Nick Fortes 1-4, HR, BB, K
  • Otto López 0-2
  • Matt Mervis 2-2, HR

The Marlins are hoping this is the season that Max Meyer turns a corner. Over two starts he’s allowed five runs, four earned, over 11 2/3 innings from 13 hits and 15 strikeouts (3.09 ERA, 2.64 FIP, 1.371 WHIP and a 147 ERA+). He’s coming off of a quality start against the Braves where he allowed three runs over six innings while striking out eight. In 2024 he made 11 starts pitching 57 innings with a 5.68 ERA, 5.90 FIP, 1.421 WHIP and an 80 ERA+. This includes one start in Queens where he allowed four runs from six hits and three walks over four innings. The Mets own the following career stats against Meyer:

  • Pete Alonso 1-2, HR, K
  • Francisco Lindor 1-2, HR, BB
  • Brandon Nimmo 1-3, 3B, K
  • Mark Vientos 2-3, 2B
  • Jesse Winker 1-2

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Pete Alonso. Pete Alonso is sizzling hot right now. Over 11 games this season he is slashing .333/.447/.692 with a 222 OPS+ and 0.7 bWAR already. He has three consecutive two-hit games going 6-for-11 with three doubles. On Tuesday he had his second four RBI game of the season. The Marlins walked Juan Soto to load the bases in a key moment in the game to bring up Pete Alonso who ripped a three-run double. What a start for the Polar Bear!
  2. Hitting with RISP, again. On Monday the Mets went 1-for-10 with RISP putting a lot of stress on the bullpen. Yesterday’s game was a significant improvement (the Mets scored ten runs!) but overall the team went 3-for-14 with RISP and left ten runners on base, the same amount as Monday’s game. Pete Alonso got a key hit with the bases loaded that broke the game open. Brandon Nimmo earlier in the game got a huge hit with two runners on. But there were plenty of players who put up weak at bats in key moments.
  3. Bye Marlins! It feels like the Mets have played the Marlins every other day since the start of spring training. The Mets played six spring training games against the Marlins and six of the first 12 regular season games. After today the Mets do not face the Marlins again until the very end of August. Who knows what the Marlins will look like then!

Let’s Go Mets!

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