Tonight is the first time this season the Mets will face a team with a losing record. Every team the Mets have faced, with the exception of the Pirates, still have a winning record! (As of writing, the Pirates are at .500). The first team with a losing record the Mets will face, the San Francisco Giants, were projected to finish the season with a winning record, so it’s not like tonight will be an easy event.
Despite getting crushed by the Dodgers on Sunday, the Mets are coming off of a successful weekend winning their fifth consecutive series in a row. Was Sunday a blip or does it impact play tonight?
Luis Severino looks to get the Mets back on the winning track this evening. Over four starts (21 innings) he has a 2.14 ERA, 3.73 FIP, 1.381 WHIP and a 189 ERA+. In his last two starts he has allowed only two runs, one earned, from six hits and seven walks while striking out eight. This is compared to 14 hits and two walks over his first two starts this season which led to eight total runs. The Giants have the following career numbers against Severino:
- Matt Chapman 1-13, 2 BB, 4 K
- Michael Conforto 0-8, BB, 4 K
- Wilmer Flores 0-4, 3 K
- Jorge Soler 1-3
Life doesn’t get a lot easier for the Mets bats tonight, going from Tyler Glasnow on Sunday to Logan Webb tonight. Over five starts (30 2/3 innings) Webb has a 2.93 ERA, 2.88 FIP, 1.174 WHIP and a 138 ERA+. He’s been even better in his last two starts where he allowed only one earned run over 14 innings while striking out nine in 14 innings of work. He’s coming off a season where he had a 3.25 ERA over a league leading 216 innings pitched.
Oddly enough, the last time that Logan Webb faced the Mets was April 22nd, 2023. He held the Mets to two runs from five hits over seven innings on his way to his first win of the season. The Mets have the following career numbers against Webb:
- Pete Alonso 1-11, HR, BB, 5 K
- Harrison Bader 2-4, 2 BB
- Brett Baty 0-2, 2 K
- Francisco Lindor 2-7, 2B, 2 K
- Starling Marte 4-11, K
- Jeff McNeil 2-9, 2B, BB, K
- Omar Narváez 0-5, K
- Tomás Nido 1-6
- Brandon Nimmo 1-11, HR, BB, 3 K
- Tyrone Taylor 0-4, BB, 2 K
- Joey Wendle 0-3, 2 BB
Three Things To Watch For:
- Old Friends! The Mets and Giants are always a fun series if you like seeing old Met players. Wilmer Flores is hitting .218/.297/.273 this season over 64 plate appearances with a 65 OPS+. He has not hit a homer yet this season. Michael Conforto is hitting .259/.302/.469 over 86 plate appearances with a 117 OPS+. He already has four homers this season and nine extra-base hits total.
- We tried it, didn’t work. The first two games of the series with the Dodgers the Mets were racking up stolen bases. Then Sunday happened and the Mets were thrown out twice during both of their attempts. Will the Mets be aggressive today like yesterday?
- Tomás Nido tossed a runner out! Baserunners have been running wild on the Mets all season. Sunday Tomás Nido became the first catcher on the Mets to toss a runner out stealing a base. The Mets are going to need Nido and Narváez behind the plate to do this more often so teams don’t feel as empowered to steal.
Let’s Go Mets!
