Game Preview: Marlins vs Mets

The Mets look to stretch their winning streak to six games in a row and win their third consecutive series this afternoon! If you follow the Mets schedule closely, you’ll recognize this is not the regularly scheduled game time. The Mets have moved the game up a couple of hours to ensure they have a clear window to play the game. The Mets do not frequently do this, and famously were hurt by the league/ the Braves not moving game times around at the end of last season. It’s worth watching to see if the Mets do this again later this season.

Clay Holmes makes his third start of the season this afternoon! Holmes has allowed three earned runs, five total, over 9 1/3 innings this season from 11 hits and six walks while striking out 10. This translates into a 2.89 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 1.821 WHIP and a 140 ERA+. Holmes has pitched exactly 4 2/3 innings in both starts this season, tossing 89 and 85 pitches during his starts. HIs last start (4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K) was against the Marlins who have the following career numbers against him:

  • Griffin Conine 2-3, K
  • Xavier Edwards 1-3
  • Nick Fortes 1-1
  • Liam Hicks
  • Otto López 1-3
  • Matt Mervis 1-2, K
  • Graham Pauley 0-2, K
  • Javier Sanoja 0-2, 2 K
  • Kyle Stowers 1-2, 3 BB
  • Eric Wagaman 0-2

The Mets bats will try to get a hit with runners in scoring position against Connor Gillispie this afternoon. Over two starts this season Gillispie has allowed five runs, four earned, over 10 innings from eight hits and four walks while striking out 10 batters (3.60 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 1.200 WHIP and a 125 ERA+). This will be Connor’s first road start of the season His last start against the Mets was a good one where he held the Mets to one run from four hits and no walks over five innings while striking out six batters. The Mets have the following career numbers against him:

  • Pete Alonso 2-2, 2 2B
  • Brett Baty 0-2
  • Francisco Lindor 0-3, 2 K
  • Brandon Nimmo 0-2
  • Hayden Senger 1-2, 2B
  • Juan Soto 1-3, 2 K
  • Tyrone Taylor 0-2, K
  • Mark Vientos 0-2, K
  • Jesse Winker 0-2, K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Can Clay Holmes get his WHIP down. Holmes has done an impressive job keeping scoring down while he’s on the mound. His small-sample size 1.821 WHIP is a key indicator about the amount of traffic on the basepaths behind him. He cut his walks in half from his first to second start (four to two), but allowing at least five hits while not finishing the 5th inning is a lot. Today is also his first time pitching at home. Over the last three years the Marlins and Astros have been in the top 50% of ballparks for hitting while Citi Field has been in the bottom 15.
  2. Hitting with RISP. The Mets lack of hits with RISP is starting to become a theme again. Monday night the Mets went an astounding 1-for-10 with RISP and left a total of 10 batters on base throughout the night. The offense is starting to hum at getting runners on base – the Mets had nine hits and five walks over the game. The pitching staff has been absolutely phenomenal, allowing only 22 runs over the first ten games of the season. Can the Mets take some of the pressure off?
  3. Francisco Lindor. Lindor was slashing .067/.118/.067 over his first four games of the season where he went 1-for-15. He’s now hitting .242/.308/.303. Over his last four games he’s slashing .462/.529/.615 going 6-for-13 with two doubles and three walks. Monday night he had his first three-hit game of the season, and he’s still searching for his first home run of the season. Earlier this season, Connor Gillispie held Lindor hitless over three at bats while striking him out twice. Once Connor left the game, Lindor got his second hit of the season. Let’s see how a hot Lindor hits against Connor tonight!

Let’s Go Mets!

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