The Mets return home for the first time in 2025!
The Mets had a come from behind, extra-innings win on Wednesday to take the series from the Marlins. Pitching has kept the Mets in every game this season with a 2.38 ERA so far. Defensive miscues and lack of offense at times has prevented the Mets from taking full advantage of the pitching staff’s performance. Can the Mets bats wake up tonight against the Blue Jays who are on a four game winning streak?
Tylor Megill allowed only one run from three hits and a walk over five innings while striking out six in his first start. Before his start last week, we noted that statcast recorded eight different pitches thrown by Megill in 2024. In his first start he tossed five pitches: a four seamer (50.6% of the time), slider (22.1%), sinker (20.8%). changeup (3.9%, three total pitches) and curveball (2.6%). One his best starts of 2024 was against the Blue Jays where he one-hit them over six innings while striking out nine batters. The Blue Jays have the following career numbers against him:
- Bo Bichette 2-5, BB
- Andrés Giménez, 0-3, 3 K
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0-7, 2 BB, 2 K
- Alejandro Kirk 2-5, BB
- Nathan Lukes 0-2, K
- Anthony Santander 2-3, 2B, HR
- George Springer 1-8, K
- Will Wagner 0-1, BB, K
The Mets bats will try to get themselves going against Kevin Gausman this afternoon. He allowed two runs from three hits and a walk over six innings in his first start this season. Last season he pitched 181 innings over 31 starts with a 3.83 ERA, 3.77 FIP, 1.221 WHIP and a 104 ERA+. Before you move on the Mets numbers against Gausman, make a prediction, which two hitters have eight hits and an OBP over .680 against Gausman over their careers? Read on to find out!
- Pete Alonso 1-4, 3B, BB, 2 K
- Francisco Lindor 3-9, HR, BB, 2 K
- Starling Marte 8-13, 3 2B, HR, BB, K
- Brandon Nimmo 1-7, 2 BB, K
- Jose Siri 0-9, 4 K
- Juan Soto 8-15, 2 2B, HR, 12 BB, 2 K
- Tyrone Taylor 0-2, K
- Jesse Winker 2-12, 3 BB, 3K
Three Things To Watch For:
- Tylor Megill pitch selection. We are still watching Megill’s pitch selection. In 2024 he used his four seamer 46.7% of the time, which is close to his first start. He used his slider almost twice as much in his first start this year (22.1% vs 11%). Statcast didn’t pick up any cutters in his first start, a pitch he used 14.2% of the time in 2024.
- Andrés Giménez. Hey! We know him! Giménez made his major league debut with the Mets at 21-years old in 2020, putting up 1.0 bWAR over 49 games (101 OPS+). He had a slick glove and was a highly touted prospect. The trade package that brought Francisco Lindor to New York was built around him! Giménez put up an insane 7.4 bWAR in 2022 for the Guardians (141 OPS+) as his bat took a significant step forward with his glove. He signed a massive extension with the Guardians who then traded him this year mainly for salary relief. He’s already off to a hot start going 8-for-26 with two doubles and three home runs (229 OPS+) in 2025.
- Pete Alonso. Alonso loved Miami. He went 5-for-12 with two doubles, two home runs and eight RBI’s throughout the series with four runs scored. He hit a grand slam in the first game that broke the game open. His three hits on Wednesday all came off the bat between 113.1 and 114.5 mph. Just insane stuff from the polar bear!
Let’s Go Mets!
