Game Preview: Mets @ Brewers

The New York Mets played one of the most incredible regular season games on Monday and look to ride that momentum back to Milwaukee to open up the post-season. The Mets are right back to where they were last week, going to Milwaukee from Atlanta. Last time the Mets were coming off a frustrating loss against the Braves, and back-to-back postponements. We’ve see this happen to the Mets this season where they get rusty real quick when they miss multiple days due to rain (hello April). Now the Mets head to Milwaukee after celebrating their improbable run to the post-season. Hope the Milwaukee Brewers are ready for the positive-vibes Mets!

Luis Severino makes the start today after reminding everyone during Monday’s celebration to drink water because they have a game today! With the Mets winning the first game of the doubleheader on Monday, the Mets were able to bump Luis Severino to today’s opener. Overall this season he has pitched 182 innings with a 3.91 ERA, 4.21 FIP, 1.242 WHIP and a 101 ERA+. He’s coming off of a rough start against the Braves where he allowed four runs over four innings. In his seven starts before that he had a 2.64 ERA, 3.46 FIP over 44 1/3 innings. His first start of the season was against the Brewers where he allowed six runs, three earned, over five innings. The Brewers have the following career numbers against Severino:

  • Willy Adames 4-11, 2B, HR, BB, 3 K
  • Jake Bauers 3-9, 2B, HR, BB, 5 K
  • Jackson Chourio 1-3, K
  • William Contreras 1-5, K
  • Sal Frelick 1-5, 2 K
  • Rhys Hoskins 3-6, HR, 2 K
  • Brice Turang 2-5, 2 K

Freddy Peralta is coming off of a career high of innings at 173 2/3. He has a 3.68 ERA, 4.16 FIP, 1.215 WHIP and a 114 ERA+. He had a strong end of the season allowing only four runs over 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts (2.35 ERA, 2.84 FIP). Peralta had a strong start to the season against the Mets, holding the Mets to a solo home run and a walk over six innings while striking out eight. The Mets have the following career numbers against Peralta:

  • Pete Alonso 1-6, 2B, BB, K
  • Francisco Alvarez 0-2, 2 K
  • Harrison Bader 4-18, 2B, HR, BB, 7 K
  • Jose Iglesias 0-5, K
  • Francisco Lindor 1-6, HR, 3 BB, 3 K
  • Starling Marte 3-12, 3B, HR, K
  • Brandon Nimmo 0-8, BB, 3 K
  • Jesse Winker 6-18, 2 2B, 2 HR, BB, 3 K

Three Things To Watch For:

  1. Stolen Bases. The Brewers love to steal bases. They’ve stolen 217, good for second in Major League Baseball behind the Nationals (223). They have 17 of those stolen bases against the Mets. Just absurd numbers. As soon as they get on base, they are going to steal. How do the Mets respond? How do the Mets prevent the Brewers from getting into their heads? How do I get the Brewers and their stolen bases out of my head?
  2. Home runs. We didn’t really see the Mets greatest strength in Milwaukee last week – their strength. The Mets hit 207 home runs in the regular season, good for six in Major League Baseball and fourth in the National League (trailing the Dodgers, Braves, Diamondbacks, ahead of the Phillies). When the ball is flying off of the Mets bats, the Mets feel inevitable.
  3. Francisco Lindor. The MVP of the Mets (and competition for Ohtani for the league MVP) saved the Mets season on Monday. He went 2-for-5 with two runs scored and three RBI’s. He was critical in the first rally where the Mets scored six runs to take the lead. He, when the Mets were at their lowest, he hit a two-run shot to take the lead. On Sunday Lindor lead the Mets to a win against the Brewers. He’s everything for this team.

Let’s Go Mets!

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