Game Preview: Mets @ Brewers

The Mets are knocking on the door to another season with a losing record – can they fight back?

If the Mets wanted to avoid a losing record, they need to win tonight. The Mets are sitting with 80 losses on the season, and have an elimination number of two. If they lose tonight, the best they can do this season is finish at .500. A loss and a Braves win tonight will eliminate the Mets from the division race.

The Mets will turn to Rich Hill tonight. Over 30 games this season and 148.2 innings, Hill has a 3.87 ERA, 4.33 FIP, 1.191 WHIP and a 102 ERA+. His numbers are similar as a Met – 11 starts and 53.1 innings with a 3.88 ERA, 3.93 FIP, 1.238 WHIP and a 104 ERA+. September has been great for Rich Hill though, in four games and 21.2 innings he has allowed only six runs, a 2.49 ERA. The Brewers have the following numbers against Hill:

Lorenzo Cain 3-7, 2B, 3B, 2 BB, 3 K
Christian Yelich 4-11, 3 2B, BB, 3 K
Manny Pina 2-6
Eduardo Escobar 0-1
Kolten Wong 1-6
Avisail Garcia 1-6, 2 K
Luis Urias 0-2, 2 K
Willy Adames 0-3, K

The Mets bats will get a look at Corbin Burnes who is having an excellent season. The All-Star has made 26 starts this season pitching 158.0 innings with a 2.34 ERA, 1.58 FIP (league leading), 0.973 WHIP and a 182 ERA+ (league leading). Burnes is also leading the league in HR/9 (0.3), K/9 (12.6) and K/BB (6.91). That all said, September has been average for Bunes. He has one great start where he held Cleveland scoreless over 8.0 innings while striking out 14 batters. In his other two starts he has allowed six runs over 11.0 innings from 12 hits while still striking out 18 batters. Against the Mets earlier this year, Burnes held the Mets to one run over 5.2 innings, scattering six hits and no walks. The Mets have the following numbers against him: