Adjusting 2020 Projections for a 60 Game Season: Hitters Part 2

If you are a long time reader of this site, you know that pretty much every spring, in a very unscientific way, we collect the projections for Mets players from a variety of sources, average them together and create a conglomerate projection for the upcoming season (which we then return to at the end of the season).

Rather than doing that again for every player, we are going to go through some players a group at a time and look at their data. I’ve restricted it to players I’m anticipating seeing a larger portion of play time.

Yesterday we looked at Alonso, Canó, Céspedes, Conforto and Davis. (Here) Today we’ll take a look at Jake Marisnick, Jeff McNeil, Brandon Nimmo, Wilson Ramos, Amed Rosario and Dominic Smith.

Marisnick and Smith are trickier. They should both see some increase in playing time due to the DH (Marisnick seeing more time in the outfield, Smith could get additional starts in favorable matchup’s with Yoensis getting most of the DH reps). Working against Smith – the inclusion of the DH changes his pinch hitting role slightly.

Personally, I found this a useful exercise in managing expectations for players who hit 10-15 homers a year.

The original average lines for projections (and sources) can be found at the following links: Marisnick, McNeil, Nimmo, Ramos, Rosario and Smith.

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