Every spring at 213 we gather a whole bunch of projections for players and average them together to see what a conglomerate of baseball sources think a given player will perform over the year. It’s wholly unscientific – averaging averages and not weighting them for previous accuracy or amount of playing time they feel a player will see.
We are still continuing a stretch of reviewing projections for Mets players who had little to no contributions in 2019 starting with Drew Smith on Saturday, followed by Jacob Rhame then Tim Peterson and now Corey Oswalt. Oswalt showed glimpses of promise in 2018 but was also completely mismanaged. He ended 2018 with 64.2 innings logged but a 5.85 ERA/5.70 FIP.
Last year we wrote about how the Mets mismanaged him and didn’t really give him a chance. We then compiled several projections (shown below) and his 2019 stats (also shown below):
2019 MLB: 6.2 IP, 12.15 ERA, 6.36 FIP, 2.250 WHIP, 6.8 K/9
2019 MiLB (AAA): 86.2 IP, 2.91 ERA, 3.47 FIP, 1.14 WHIP, 8.2 K/9
Similar to Tim Peterson, Oswalt was much better in the minors than his cup of coffee in the majors. Unlike Peterson, Oswalt is still a Met. He didn’t make projections at all, mainly because he didn’t get any playing time so we can’t make a conclusion about whether the projections were right or not. What we can talk about is where does Oswalt fall on the depth chart. We think Walker Lockett as next on the depth chart after Porcello/Wacha and after that it’s Oswalt. Could he eventually put it together in the majors? Who knows. Let’s see what he can do in Syracuse next year.
