Every spring at 213 we gather a whole bunch of projections for players and average them together to see what a conglomerate of baseball sources think a given player will perform over the year. It’s wholly unscientific – averaging averages and not weighting them for previous accuracy or amount of playing time they feel a player will see.
The Mets some how got Luis Avilan on a minor league deal and we, as other places, noted that he had a good chance of making the major league club due to our lack of lefties. He pitched about the first six weeks of the year, got injured, came back around July and finished out the season.
Back in March we previewed his projections here, with the summary below:
Avilan in 2019 posted the following stat line:
45 G, 32.0 IP, 5.06 ERA, 4.96 FIP, 1.469 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, 0.1 WAR, 5.10 DRA
Initially some projections were a little low on playing time for Avilan because of roster situation, in end, it turned out to be his injury that prevented a full season of bullpen work. He performed much worse than anyone projected failing to meet any projections across any platform with the exception of WAR but that might be due more to how WAR is calculated than anything else.
Luis Avilan is a free agent right now and is probably looking to join a team the same way he did last year, except unlike last year, his performance doesn’t merit a major league contract right now.
