The Mets won yesterday, but so did the Brewers therefore the Mets’ elimination number dropped down to 3. The Mets window is continuing to shrink but if they win tonight, a new opportunity could open – while the Brewers have gone a 4 game winning streak, winning 8-2 of their last 10, the Nationals have gone 5-5 in their last ten. The Nationals have played two less games than the Brewers and if they lose today, they become the team that the Mets end up chasing.
None of this matters if the Mets don’t win though. Steven Matz takes the mound tonight and he is 10-9 over 30 games and 28 starts with 149.1 innings and a 4.16 ERA, 4.55 FIP, 1.333 WHIP and a 98 ERA+. He’s coming off a rough start against the Rockies where he allowed 7 runs from 6 hits and 2 walks (and 2 homers) in 4.0 innings. He has a 2.87 ERA in three starts and 15.2 innings against the Marlins allowing 7 runs, 5 earned over 15.2 innings from 18 hits and 4 walks. The Marlins have the following stat lines against him:
- Starlin Castro 6-22, 2B, HR, 6 K
- Miguel Rojas 3-20, 2B, BB, 3 K
- Martin Prado 6-15, 2 BB, K
- Lewis Brinson 2-11, BB, 4 K
- Jorge Alfaro 4-9, BB, 2 K
- Garrett Cooper 0-4, BB
The Mets bats will get a look at Caleb Smith who is 9-10 over 26 starts and 144.1 innings with a 4.24 ERA, 4.86 FIP, 1.164 WHIP and a 100 ERA+. September hasn’t been the kindest month to Caleb – he’s allowed 14 runs, 13 earned, over 22.0 innings (5.32 ERA) in 4 starts and that includes a start where he tossed 6.0 scoreless innings. In two starts against the Mets he allowed 4 runs from 7 hits and 6 walks in 11.0 innings. The Mets have the following numbers against him:
- Michael Conforto 3-10, BB, 5 K
- Amed Rosario 2-9, 2B, 4 K
- Robinson Cano 1-7, K
- Pete Alonso 0-5, BB, 4 K
- Joe Panik 2-6
- J.D. Davis 1-3, 2B, 2 BB
- Todd Frazier 0-4, BB, K
- Jeff McNeil 2-4, 2B, BB, K
- Wilson Ramos 2-4, BB
- Brandon Nimmo 0-3, 2 K
Let’s Go Mets!
