Game Preview: Reds vs Mets

The Mets just couldn’t squeak out a couple more runs early last night against the Reds and it ended up costing them the game as Diaz allowed the winning run for the Reds on a go-ahead homer in the 9th inning. Wheeler had one bad inning that allowed 4 runs and limited the damage to just that and Lugo/Familia had clean innings behind him. The Mets bats just couldn’t get a hit when it counted and now they have to face one of the strongest pitchers on the Reds staff.

Luis Castillo 3-1 over 6 starts this season and 36.2 innings. He has a 1.23 ERA (league leading), 2.54 FIP, 0.955 WHIP, 369 ERA+ (league leading) and a 0.2 HR/9 (league leading). This is a tremendous improvement from last year where he posted a 4.30 ERA, 4.32 FIP, 1.220 WHIP and 98 ERA+ in 31 games and 169.2 innings. He made one start against the Mets last year where he allowed 2 runs off 3 hits and a walk in 5.2 innings of work. The Mets have the following numbers against him:

The Mets will hope for a longer outing from Vargas tonight. He was effective in his last start, but still short on innings. Over 5 games and 4 starts this season he has a 7.20 ERA, 6.40 FIP, 1.933 WHIP and 56 ERA+ in 15.0 innings of work. In his last two starts he has allowed 2 ER over 8.2 innings, a 2.08 ERA. He faced the Reds twice last year and it wasn’t pretty, allowing 7 runs off 9 hits and 2 walks in 4.1 innings. The Reds have the following numbers against Vargas:

Lets Go Mets!

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