2018 Stats Projection – Juan Lagares

The Mets start another season with a familiar situation in the outfield: the Mets do not have a regular, everyday, actual center fielder. When the Mets field Bruce/Conforto/Cespedes, all three are corner outfielders. Nimmo could be in line for a break out season and after his spring he deserves a long look.

But there is always Juan Lagares. He is worth so much defensively that the Mets just need him to hit a little better and stay healthier a bit longer to make a big difference. Let’s take a look at what the computers think he will do this year:

Juan Lagares
Source PA AB H R HR AVG OBP SLG
Baseball Prospectus 347 71.485 41 5 0.255 0.295 0.366
ZiPS 366 85 40 5 0.25 0.289 0.362
Steamer 207 192 49 19 4 0.256 0.299 0.379
ESPN 233 57.085 26 3 0.245 0.283 0.352
MLB.com 370 95.83 44 4 0.259 0.299 0.357
Baseball Reference 352 323 81 41 7 0.251 0.303 0.364
Average: 318 279.5 73.23333 35.16667 4.666667 0.252667 0.294667 0.363333
2017 Stats: 272 252 63 37 3 0.25 0.296 0.365

On average, it looks like the computers see Juan putting up a similar year compared to last year. That’s fine. But if Nimmo doesn’t break out, or at least perform where he should on average, and if Juan is below last season at the plate, the Mets will have to struggle defensively to put the best line up out there. That’s a shame with the pitching staff the Mets have.

There’s a lot to like about Juan. I hope this year is the year.

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