2018 Stats Projection – Travis d’Arnaud

Travis had a good year in terms of power numbers, but a bad year in pretty much everything else as the oft injured catcher was able to stay on the field for 376 PAs. At this point in d’Arnaud’s career he is becoming a catcher who plays below average time, mostly out of injury concerns.

Here are what the computers think he will do this year:

Travis d’Arnaud
Source PA AB H R HR AVG OBP SLG
Baseball Prospectus 488 86.392 58 16 0.25 0.315 0.418
ZiPS 379 90 42 13 0.259 0.312 0.431
Steamer 331 299 75 35 12 0.252 0.313 0.431
ESPN 330 85.14 39 14 0.258 0.31 0.439
MLB.com 330 85.14 41 15 0.258 0.306 0.458
Baseball Reference 416 377 94 46 15 0.249 0.311 0.422
Average: 403.5 334 85.94533 43.5 14.16667 0.254333 0.311167 0.433167
2017 Stats: 376 348 85 39 16 0.244 0.293 0.443

Rene Rivera started to give d’Arnaud a run for his money in value to the team over the last couple of seasons. Now this is Travis and Kevin’s job where step forwards by either of them can edge out the others.

Travis will face additional pressures this year from the minors in both Nido (low threat) and Lobaton (spring threat). The projections see a step back in the correct direction for OBP and a step back for power. They also see him putting similar, if not less, playing time compared to last year.

The Mets don’t need d’Arnaud to be great. There are a lot of bats in the lineup now. They need him to be serviceable though.

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