When I wrote the 2017 Projections Article last year for Jose Reyes, I did not expect Jose Reyes to have as major of a role on the team as he did but injuries are terrible and trades were plentiful, so we saw a lot of Jose Reyes.
| Jose Reyes | |||||||||
| PA | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | |
| 2016 | 279 | 255 | 45.00 | 8 | 24 | 9 | 0.267 | 0.326 | 0.443 |
| Projections | |||||||||
| MLB.com | 425 | 67.00 | 11 | 38 | 14 | 0.273 | 0.325 | 0.428 | |
| Steamer | 410 | 52.00 | 8 | 36 | 14 | 0.256 | 0.308 | 0.376 | |
| ZiPS | 456 | 59.00 | 9 | 39 | 16 | 0.267 | 0.316 | 0.391 | |
| ESPN | 69.00 | 10 | 42 | 22 | 0.261 | ||||
| Baseball Prospectus | 479 | 60.00 | 9 | 41 | 20 | 0.265 | 0.315 | 0.382 | |
| Sporting News | 484 | 64.00 | 11 | 40 | 14 | 0.269 | 0.309 | 0.377 | |
| NBC Rotoworld | 321 | 45.00 | 7 | 35 | 11 | 0.271 | 0.324 | 0.399 | |
| Rotowire | 467 | 69.00 | 8 | 46 | 21 | 0.276 | 0.341 | 0.392 | |
| Baseball America | 506 | 65.00 | 9 | 43 | 19 | 0.257 | 0.304 | 0.366 | |
| FBG 2017 | 503 | 73.00 | 10 | 48 | 13 | 0.261 | |||
| Average | 467.5 | 445.14286 | 62.3 | 9.2 | 40.8 | 16.4 | 0.2656 | 0.31775 | 0.388875 |
Jose Reyes 2017 Stats:
145 G, 561 PA, 501 AB, 75 R, 123 H, 25 2B, 7 3B, 15 HR, 58 RBI, .246 BA, .315 OBP, .413 SLG
I was expecting Jose Reyes to get 300-350 PA’s going into the season. The projections did better than me expecting quite a bit more. In reality he got even more time than that. It’s incredible how much power he had than projected, but that’s about where the good times end. His OBP was predicted exactly and his batting average was quite a bit lower.
Only MLB.com saw him having a slugging above 400, although they over shot it, and no one saw his average being as low as it was. If the most important predictor is on base base percentage, then Baseball Prospectus did the best.
As of writing this article (1/15) Jose Reyes has not signed with a team yet. As the days go on without the Mets signing more infield help, a reunion seems more likely. Even doing somewhat better than his 2017 projections, the Mets should stay away from Reyes in 2018.
