Curtis Granderson often gets over shadowed for his performance in 2015. He easily had his best season as a Met and had one of the best on the Mets. The Mets success in 2016 is relying on Granderson to put up similar numbers to his 2015 campaign. But were computers able to predict his success in 2015? Here is what the computers thought he would do:
PECOTA (BP): 538 PA, 74 R, 18 2B, 4 3B, 21 HR, 63 RBI, .227 BA, .315 OBP
PECOTA (MLB.com): 515 AB, 73 R, 24 HR, 77 RBI, .227 BA, .316 OBP
MLB.com: 511 AB, 72 R, 22 HR, 66 RBI, .237 BA, .322 OBP
ZiPS: 521 PA, 71 R, 19 2B, 3 2B, 21 HR, 60 RBI, .231 BA, .319 OBP
Steamer: 535 PA, 465 BA, 60 R, 20 2B, 2 3B, 19 HR, 56 RBI, .222 BA, .313 OBP
ESPN: .231 BA, 77 R, 23 HR, 65 RBI
Average: 531 PA, 497 AB, 71 R, 19 2B, 3 3B, 22 HR, 64.5 RBI, .229 BA, .317 OBP
(Originally posted here)
And here are is his actual 2015 numbers:
682 PA, 98 R, 33 2B, 2 3B, 26 HR, 70 RBI, 11 SB, .259 BA, .364 OBP
Granderson played way more than the computers thought that he would. On homers, it looks like the computer thought he would have more power (22 homers in 530 PA vs the actual 26 over 682). Curtis ended up hitting 30 points better and his OBP was much higher as well. Curtis Grandrson had a great season, and none of the projection sites, books, magazines, etc never saw Curtis doing these things. Just as a quick preview, most of the 2016 projections have Curtis returning similar hitting numbers from before 2015.
