Understatement: 2015 was not easy for our captain.
In the midst of a massive winning streak to start off the season in 2015, David Wright came up injured from a hard slide. A month later, he was diagnosed with spinal stenosis. He eventually came back though and was with the Mets through the stretch run.
Any projection number that wasn’t an average of some sort obviously didn’t meet the mark for David Wright last year, but lets take a look to see if at least his batting average, on-base, etc were close:
PECOTA (BP): 532 PA, 63 R, 27 2B, 2 3B, 15 HR, 63 RBI, 11 SB, .268 BA, .343 OBP
PECOTA (MLB.com): 535 AB, 73 R, 17 HR, 73 RBI, 13 SB, .267 BA, .342 OBP
MLB.com: 524 AB, 74 R, 19 HR, 80 RBI, 13 SB, .288 BA, .364 OBP
ZiPS: 558 PA, 498 AB, 67 R, 28 2B, 3 3B, 13 HR, 70 RBI, 11 SB, .275 BA, .346 OBP
Steamer: 574 PA, 511 AB, 65 R, 29 2B, 2 3B, 15 HR, 64 RBI, 9 SB, .274 BA, .345 OBP
ESPN: .273 BA, 63 R, 16 HR, 63 RBI, 11 SB
Average: 555 PA, 517 AB, 67.5 R, 28 2B, 2.3 3B, 15.8 HR, 68.8 RBI, 11.3 SB, .274 BA, .348 OBP
(Originally posted here)
Actual 2015 Numbers:
174 PA, 152 AB, 24 R, 44 H, 7 2B, 5 HR, 17 RBI, 2 SB, .289 BA, .379 OBP
If you try to adjust for PA, Wright ended up hitting more homers and scoring more runs, under-performed with doubles, RBIs, and stolen bases. He had a higher batting average and OBP.
So were they right? I’m going to take the easy way out and say: impossible to tell. Wright’s actual numbers are a fairly small size compared to what was projected.
