Dillon Gee is going to be one of the more difficult pitchers for computers to project, mainly because when the numbers were first run, Gee was going to be a starter. If Gee stays with the Mets, barring something unforeseen, he’ll be in the pen. He could also be traded. Anyway, lets take a look at what the fly-ball pitcher was able to do last season:
2014 Stats: 7-8, 22 G, 137.1 IP, 94 K, 43 BB, 1.25 WHIP, 4.00 ERA
And his 2015 projections:
PECOTA (BP): 7-8, 22 G, 132.2 IP, 107 K, 39 BB, 1.22 WHIP, 3.90 ERA
MLB.com: 6-6, 110 IP, 77 K, 34 BB, 1.26 WHIP, 3.93 ERA
PECOTA (MLB.com): 7-7, 121 IP, 98 K, 36 BB, 1.21 WHIP, 3.79 ERA
ZiPS: 23 G, 142 IP, 107 K, 40 BB, 4.18 ERA
Steamer: 5-7, 17 G, 96 IP, 70 K, 26 BB, 4.35 ERA
ESPN: 6-5, 73 K, 1.22 WHIP, 3.86 ERA
Average: 6.2-6.6, 20.6 G, 120.1 IP, 88.6 K, 35 BB, 1.23 WHIP, 4.00 ERA
For the most part, the computers think given two-thirds of a season, Gee would improve on his stats when accounted for playing time. We’ll see what happens when he gets moved to the pen, and then fences are accounted for also.
