As we head down the pipe to Pitchers and Catchers, Spring Training, Spring Training Games and the 2015 season, computers are rolling out 2015 projections on how every player will perform. Before getting a 2015 preview, at 213 Miles From Shea we wanted to see how the computers handled 2014.
First up is the captain, who suffered an injury plagued season, which hurt his power numbers tremendously, let’s see how the computer programs did.
2014 Projections:
ESPN: 554 AB, 88 R, 22 HR, 85 RBI, 18 SB, .303 BA, .388 OBP, .502 SLG
MLB: 550 AB, 87 R, 23 HR, 89 RBI, 17 SB, .302 BA, .379 OBP, .498 SLGOliver: 600 PA, 84 R, 21 HR, 79 RBI, 16 SB, .294 BA, .378 OBP, .484 SLG
Steamer: 612 PA, 78 R, 19 HR, 77 RBI, 14 SB, .290 BA, .376 OBP, .476 SLG
PECOTA: 606 PA, 531 AB, 77 R, 19 HR, 75 RBI, 17 SB, .272 BA, .356 OBP, .443 SLG
Average Stats: 606 PA, 545 AB, 82.8 R, 20.8 HR, 80.8 RBI, 16.4 SB, .292 BA, .375 OBP, .481 SLG
2014 Actual Stats:
586 PA, 535 AB, 54 R, 8 HR, 63 RBI, 8 SB, .269 BA, .324 OBP, .374 SLG
So the computers were way off with David Wright in 2014, but David Wright had a slide last year that was fairly difficult to predict. His power numbers were half of predicted, even though AB’s were only off by 10, OBP was way down and speed decreased by about half as well. In this situation, I don’t think it is fair to pan the computers because of Wright’s injury. I am curious though as to how the computers will respond to this slide with the 2015 numbers.
