2014 Mets Projections: Noah Syndergaard

Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.

Well this is it! The last post in a 22 part series look at the Mets in the upcoming season. At some point this year we will see Noah Syndegaard in Flushing hopefully dominating hitters. This is tricky but sometimes computer models can predict how these players do, so lets take a look:

MLB: 5-5, 4.30 ERA, 90.0 IP, 32 BB, 75 K, 1.33 WHIP
Oliver: 6-5, 4.00 ERA, 95.0 IP
PECOTA: 1.8-2.8, 3.74 ERA, 34.3 IP, 12 BB, 34 K, 1.25 WHIP

Average: 4.3-4.3, 4.01 ERA, 73.1 IP, 22 BB, 54.5 K, 1.29 WHIP

I think PECOTA really low balls the amount of starts that Noah will get in the majors, but Noah will also be limited to 145.0 innings this year, which means it is hard to see him pitching deep into the season. I think the rest of the averages is pretty accurate, an ERA around 4 and a WHIP around 1.3 looks about right for his rookie debut. There is of course the chance he comes in and throws absolute heat and shatters these numbers.

Should be exciting to see what he does!

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