Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
Chris Young is fighting for a starting job in the outfield. He could easily win it outright, or find himself in a platoon with Eric Young Jr, or see Lucas Duda cut into his playing time. Anyway, the Mets are hoping that Chris Young has a season similar to Byrd did last year. Lets take a look at the computers:
2013: 335 AB, 46 R, 12 HR, 40 RBI, 10 SB, .200 BA, .280 OBP, .379 SLG
ESPN: 387 AB, 53 R, 14 HR, 47 RBI, 13 SB, .222 BA, .308 OBP, .395 SLG
MLB: 500 AB, 64 R, 18 HR, 60 RBI, 15 SB, .222 BA, .300 OBP, .392 SLG
Steamer: 536 PA, 59 R, 17 HR, 58 RBI, 13 SB, .225 BA, .311 OBP, .402 SLG
Oliver: 600 PA, 68 R, 20 HR, 68 RBI, 13 SB, .217 BA, .300 OBP, .390 SLG
PECOTA: 473 PA, 414 AB, 57 R, 15 HR, 55 RBI, 15 SB, .219 BA, .309 OBP, .387 SLG
Average: 536 PA, 434 AB, 60.2 R, 16.8 HR, 57.6 RBI, 13.8 SB, .221 BA, .306 OBP, .393 SLG
The good news for Chris Young, and the Mets, is that all of the simulations show an increase in performance this year. It isn’t all star production, but for a Mets team riddled with offense problems, this looks alright. The Mets would like his OBP to step up a bit, which is down thanks to Young’s free swing. If he puts up the numbers in the average, plus whatever his counterpart provides, this could be a good season for the Mets outfield (with Curtis and other included).
