Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
Vic Black is slated to be a late inning player out of the pen this year, possibly closing if Parnell isn’t on track. Lets take a look at how the computer models think Black will do this year:
2013: 18 G, 17.0 IP, 6 BB, 15 K, 1 SV, 3.71 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
ESPN: 70 G, 66.0 IP, 32 BB, 68 K, 3.55 ERA, 1.36 WHIP
Steamer: 45 G, 45.0 IP, 3.50 ERA
Oliver: 50 G, 58.0 IP, 3.91 ERA
PECOTA: 54 G, 57.7 IP, 26 BB, 66 K, 3.31 ERA, 1.23 WHIP
Average: 54.75 G, 56.7 IP, 29 BB, 67 K, 3.44 ERA, 1.30 WHIP
In addition to the above, ESPN said 6 saves, and Steamer said 1 save. It looks like to the computer, Vic Black will have a good, borderline strong year out of the pen. To go to the next level, he will need to drop his WHIP, since that will also effect the runners already on the bases from scoring.