Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
Bartolo Colon represents the major starting rotation free agent acquisition that the Mets made this off-season. He is serving the role of stop gap for Harvey on a two-year deal and while he can’t match Harvey’s numbers, his experience is fantastic for the younger pitchers on the roster. It is a bit of a mystery what to expect from Colon who seems to keep bringing it year after year. Here are the predicted numbers for Colon:
2013: 30 G, 30 GS, 190.1 IP, 18-6, 29 BB, 117 K, 2.65 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 5.53 K/9
ESPN: 25 G, 25 GS, 158.0 IP, 10 W, 28 BB, 101 K, 3.65 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 5.75 K/9
MLB: 169.0 IP, 12-10, 33 BB, 113 K, 3.67 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Steamer: 30 G, 30 GS, 192.0 IP, 12-11, 3.78 ERA, 6.52 K/9
Oliver: 28 G, 28 G, 175.0 IP, 12-8, 3.45 ERA, 5.66 K/9
PECOTA: 29 G, 29 GS, 174.0 IP, 9.4-13.5, 35 BB, 124 K, 3.67 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 6.4 K/9
Average: 28 G, 28 GS, 173.6 IP, 11.1 – 10.6, 32 BB, 112.6 K, 3.64 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.1 K/9
What’s amazing is all of the computers still project Colon to have a great difference in his walks and strikeouts, which is his career strength. The computer models still all have him having a solid season, not nearly as good as last year, but still very solid. It’s exciting to think about if he could closer to 2013 than the computer suggests.
