Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
If the Mets are going to be a contender in 2014, a lot is riding on Travis d’Arnaud. Not only does he have to call a great game night after night, but he also needs to perform offensively. He is still considered one of the best Mets prospects, but injury concerns are all over the place.
2013: 99 AB, 4 R, 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB, .202 BA, .286 OBP, .263 SLG
ESPN: 414 AB, 46 R, 12 HR, 45 RBI, 1 SB, .239 BA, .325 OBP, .389 SLG
MLB: 380 AB, 44 R, 8 HR, 46 RBI, 1 SB, .263 BA, .346 OBP, .368 SLG
Steamer: 428 PA, 44 R, 13 HR, 49 RBI, 2 SB, .254 BA, .320 OBP, .418 SLG
Oliver: 600 PA, 65 R, 16 HR, 70 RBI, 2 SB, .241 BA, .312 OBP, .397 SLG
PECOTA: 489 PA, 441 AB, 55 R, 16 HR, 58 RBI, 1 SB, .250 BA, .315 OBP, .414 SLG
Average: 505.7 PA, 411.7 AB, 50.8 R, 13 HR, 53.6 RBI, 1.4 SB, .249 BA, .324 OBP, .397
This was an interesting projection article to write because the projections are all over the place. Four of the five don’t think d’Arnaud will complete a full slate of plate appearances. Some, like ESPN, project a lot of power in a few AB’s (well not a lot, but a sizable amount) but a low amount of RBI’s. They also have no idea how to project his batting average. In short, he’s a rookie that could have a lot of promise this year, or could take him a season or two to get up to speed. He should be curious to watch in 2014.
