Fantasy season means players projections are ubiquitous right now. This is part of a multi-week series where we will go over projections player by player, averaging what we can to see how the computer models and pundits think the 2014 Mets players will do.
Daniel Murphy is finally getting the respect he deserves from people who write Fantasy Articles. probably because has had a few seasons now of consistent performance a position that often struggles to have consistent performers. Anyway lets look at his stats and projections:
2013: 658 AB, 92 R, 13 HR, 78 RBI, 23 SB, .286 BA, .319 OBP, .415 SLG
ESPN: 603 AB, 78 R, 9 HR, 64 RBI, 15 SB, .289 BA, .324 OBP, .410 SLGMLB: 610 AB, 84 R, 11 HR, 73 RBI, 14 SB, .287 BA, .333 OBP, .410 SLG
Steamer: 576 PA, 65 R, 9 HR, 56 RBI, 11 SB, .280 BA, .323 OBP, .408 SLG
Oliver: 600 PA, 71 R, 11 HR, 64 RBI, 17 SB, .280 BA, .319 OBP, .405 SLG
PECOTA: 611 PA, 567 AB, 72 R, 56 RBI, 11 HR, 13 SB, .274 BA, .316 OBP, .400 SLG
Average: 595.7 PA, 593.3 AB, 74 R,10.2 HR, 62.6 RBI, 13.6 SB, .282 BA, .323 OBP, .407 SLG
A lot of his stat categories take a drop, be he is also projected to have about a 60 AB drop, which explains that. His average is projected to be close but a little less, his OBP close but a little more and SLG drops a bit. In other words, just like his play on the field they expect him to be consistent.